La Liga match predictions

We will have La Liga predictions for every match during the 2026/27 season. You’ll also see win probabilities, projected goals and clean sheet probabilities for each game (based on available market data), along with our verdict.

Please note, that while well-researched, our La Liga match predictions are not intended to be betting tips. We cannot guarantee profits if you’re using them to place bets. If you’re betting on Spanish football, make sure you do so responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware has some sound advice on how to bet safely.

La Liga predicted lineups - Real Sociedad
Atleti are in the Basque Country for the second weekend in a row, this time to take on Real Sociedad.

La Liga predictions & probabilities – Midweek & Matchday 5


  • Goals = Projected goals
  • Win = Win probability
  • Clean Sheet = Clean sheet probability
  • LLE = Our prediction

Sevilla vs Valencia

  • Date: Fri 11 Sep, 21:00 CEST
  • LLE Verdict: Sevilla 1-0 Valencia
  • Betfred Insights: Sevilla vs Valencia
ProjectionsGoalsWinClean Sheet
Sevilla1.242%40%
Valencia0.928%31%

Racing Santander vs Alaves

  • Date: Sat 12 Sep, 14:00 CEST
  • LLE Verdict: Racing Santander 2-2 Alaves
ProjectionsGoalsWinClean Sheet
Racing Santander1.340%30%
Alaves1.233%26%

Osasuna vs Espanyol

  • Date: Sat 12 Sep, 16:15 CEST
  • LLE Verdict: Osasuna 1-1 Espanyol
ProjectionsGoalsWinClean Sheet
Osasuna1.348%44%
Espanyol0.824%27%

Athletic Club vs Elche

  • Date: Sat 12 Sep, 18:30 CEST
  • LLE Verdict: Athletic Club 3-1 Elche
ProjectionsGoalsWinClean Sheet
Athletic Club2.064%44%
Elche0.815%14%

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

  • Date: Sat 12 Sep, 21:00 CEST
  • LLE Verdict: Real Madrid 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
ProjectionsGoalsWinClean Sheet
Real Madrid3.084%53%
Rayo Vallecano0.65%5%

Celta Vigo vs Malaga

  • Date: Sun 13 Sep, 14:00 CEST
  • LLE Verdict: Celta Vigo 1-0 Malaga
ProjectionsGoalsWinClean Sheet
Celta Vigo1.555%45%
Malaga0.819%21%

Levante vs Barcelona

  • Date: Sun 13 Sep, 16:15 CEST
  • LLE Verdict: Levante 1-3 Barcelona
ProjectionsGoalsWinClean Sheet
Levante0.77%6%
Barcelona2.880%48%

Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruña

  • Date: Sun 13 Sep, 18:30 CEST
  • LLE Verdict: Getafe 1-1 Deportivo La Coruña
ProjectionsGoalsWinClean Sheet
Getafe1.042%48%
Deportivo La Coruña0.725%36%

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid

  • Date: Sun 13 Sep, 21:00 CEST
  • LLE Verdict: Real Sociedad 2-1 Atletico Madrid
ProjectionsGoalsWinClean Sheet
Real Sociedad1.232%25%
Atletico Madrid1.442%31%

Villarreal vs Betis

  • Date: Mon 14 Sep, 21:00 CEST
  • LLE Verdict: Villarreal 3-2 Betis
ProjectionsGoalsWinClean Sheet
Villarreal1.649%35%
Betis1.025%21%

How accurate are our predictions?

So far in La Liga 2026/27, we have correctly predicted 19/41 results (46%) and 4/41 scorelines (10%).

Last season, we predicted 170/380 correct results (45%) and 44/380 correct scores (12%).

You can also follow our 2026/27 Segunda Division predictions for every game in the Spanish second tier. We also have Champions League predictions ahead of each matchday, focusing on the Spanish clubs.


Predicted lineups


You can also get predicted lineups for every game in our La Liga matchday previews. These are typically published on Thursday nights ahead of a standard weekend in the Spanish top flight. For full midweek matchdays, the predicted lineups should go live on Mondays.

Our La Liga team news page also features the latest injuries and suspensions at each club, while there’s additional content in the fantasy football section for Sorare managers and anyone playing La Liga fantasy games.


Latest standings