Euro 2020 Match Preview: Spain vs Italy Predictions

Spain vs Italy

Spain vs Italy predictions and match preview for Tuesday’s Euro 2020 Semi Final. Read on for the head-to-head and analysis ahead of a mouthwatering clash at Wembley.

  • DATE: Tuesday July 6th 2021
  • KICK-OFF: 20:00 (local time)
  • STADIUM: Wembley, London
  • COMPETITION: Euro 2020 Semi Final

Spain vs Italy Preview


Wembley Stadium
Wembley via Jbmg40, CC BY-SA 3.0

It’s crunch-time at Euro 2020 and against the expectations of many heading into the tournament, Spain are still in the competition as it reaches the Semi-Final stage. Overall, they’ve been less convincing than opponents Italy and will be slight underdogs here, but that may just suit Luis Enrique’s side.

Having sealed progress from their group at the final attempt, Spain made people stand up and take notice as they scored five for the second successive match against Croatia in the last 16. They weren’t quite as convincing in the Quarter Finals against a resilient Switzerland side, failing to make a man advantage count in Extra Time but won the shootout to seal a trip to London for the last four.

This match will be a step up in class on any of Spain’s previous opponents and it may take their best performance of the competition to date to seal progress. There are still defensive concerns with a mix-up leading to the Swiss goal in Saint Petersburg while La Roja again could have been more clinical in front of goal with Gerard Moreno guilty of a couple of missed chances in Extra Time. Overall though, Spain have now already done better than many expected and they should be able to play with a sense of freedom here as they try to upset the impressive Italians.

Outside of the country at least, expectations weren’t huge for Italy either heading the tournament. However Roberto Mancini had been quietly building something for a couple of years and it’s impossible to ignore the fact that Italy haven’t lost a football match in nearly three years since a September 2018 Nations League loss to Portugal.

Without doubt, their most impressive result during that period came in their last match as they defeated Belgium, ranked number one in the world, 2-1 in Munich. Fine goals from Nicolo Barella and Lorenzo Insigne set them on their way and while the Italians did ride their luck at times in the Second Half, they are are worthy of their place in the last four and whatever happens from here, it seems safe to say that the Azzurri are back after the despair of failing to even qualify for the 2018 World Cup.

Team News

Leonardo Spinazzola is a big miss for Italy at left-back after he picked up an injury in the last round. Emerson may replace him. Lorenzo Pellegrini is also sidelined through injury.

Pablo Sarabia is a doubt for Spain and may miss out with Ferran Torres his most likely replacement. Few other changes are expected.

Spain Predicted XI:

Donnarumma – Emerson, Chiellini, Bonucci, Lorenzo – Barella, Jorginho, Verratti – Insigne, Immobile, Chiesa (4-3-3)

Italy Predicted XI:

Simon – Alba, Torres, Laporte, Azpilicueta – Pedri, Busquets, Koke – Olmo, Morata, F. Torres (4-3-3)

Head to Head

  • Last 6 Meetings: 2 Spain Wins, 1 Italy Win, 3 Draws.
  • These sides last met in qualifying for the 2018 World Cup with Spain winning 3-0 at home and drawing 1-1 away.
  • The last tournament meeting was in the last 16 of Euro 2016 when Italy won 2-0.
  • The sides also met in the Final of Euro 2012 when Spain brilliantly capped their golden era with a dominant 4-0 win.

Spain vs Italy Predictions


Score Prediction: Spain 1-2 Italy

This is a step up in class for Spain who are yet to face one of the real tournament favourites. Having been taken to Extra Time in the last two rounds, a bit of fatigue may be starting to creep in too and it just feels as though Italy may be too strong for them here. Roberto Mancini’s side may have the edge defensively and in terms of experience but it should be another entertaining game in front of a big Wembley crowd.


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Spanish football writer
About Mark Sochon 1538 Articles
Mark is a freelance writer based in Madrid. He has also lived in Seville and Barcelona and has written extensively about Spanish football. His work has been published by the likes of Guardian Sport & World Soccer.

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